You’ve found the online causal inference course page. Although, the course text is written from a machine learning perspective, this course is meant to be for anyone with the necessary prerequisites who is interested in learning the basics of causality. I do my best to integrate insights from the many different fields that utilize causal inference such as epidemiology, economics, political science, machine learning, etc. You can see the tentative course schedule below.

You can join the course Slack workspace where you can easily start discussions with other people who are interested in causal inference. For information about office hours, see the office hours section below. If you’re interested in leading a reading group discussion, check out the suggested reading group papers to see if one piques your interest. When emailing me about this course, please include “[Causal Course]” at the beginning of your email subject to help make sure I see your email. If you want to receive course updates, sign up for the course mailing list. The main textbook we’ll use for this course is Introduction to Causal Inference (ICI), which is a book draft that I’ll continually update throughout this course.

Course Schedule (tentative)

Note about slides: they currently don’t work well with Adobe Acrobat, though they seem to work with other PDF viewers.

Week Topics Lecture Readings Reading Group Paper
August 31 Motivation
Course Preview
Course Information
Video
Slides
Info
Chapter 1 of ICI None
September 7 Potential Outcomes
A Complete Example with Estimation
Video
Slides
Chapter 2 of ICI Does obesity shorten life? The importance of well-defined interventions to answer causal questions (Hernán & Taubman, 2008)
September 14 Graphical Models
Video
Slides
Chapter 3 of ICI Does Obesity Shorten Life? Or is it the Soda? On Non-manipulable Causes (Pearl, 2018)
September 21 Backdoor Adjustment
Structural Causal Models
Video
Slides
Chapter 4 of ICI Single World Intervention Graphs: A Primer (Richardson & Robins, 2013)
September 28 Randomized Experiments
Frontdoor Adjustment
do-calculus
Graph-Based Identification
Video
Slides
Chapters 5-6 of ICI On Pearl’s Hierarchy and the Foundations of Causal Inference (Bareinboim et al., 2020)
October 5 Estimation
Susan Athey Guest Talk -
Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
(Oct 8th at 3 - 4 pm EDT)
Video
Slides
Guest Talk
Chapter 7 of ICI Adapting Neural Networks for the Estimation of Treatment Effects (Shi, Blei, Veitch, 2019)
October 12 Unobserved Confounding,
Bounds, and
Sensitivity Analysis
Video
Slides
Chapter 8 of ICI Sense and Sensitivity Analysis: Simple Post-Hoc Analysis of Bias Due to Unobserved Confounding (Veitch & Zaveri, 2020)
October 19 Instrumental Variables Video
Slides
Chapter 9 of ICI Deep IV: A Flexible Approach for Counterfactual Prediction (Hartford et al., 2017)
October 26 Difference-in-Differences
Alberto Abadie Guest Talk -
Synthetic Control
(Oct 29th at 10 - 11 am EDT)
Video
Slides
Guest Talk
Chapter 10 of ICI Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics (Lee & Lemieux, 2010)
November 2 --- Break Week - No Lecture --- None Past Readings None
November 9 Causal Discovery from Observational Data
Jonas Peters Guest Talk
(November 13 at 10 am EST)
Video
Slides
Chapter 11 of ICI Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences (Runge et al., 2019)
November 16 Causal Discovery from Interventions Video
Slides
Chapter 12 of ICI
(Coming in Dec)
Permutation-based Causal Inference Algorithms with Interventions (Wang et al., 2017)
November 23 Transportability
Transfer Learning
November 30 Yoshua Bengio Guest Talk -
Causal Representation Learning
(Dec 1st at 1 - 2:30 pm EST)
December 7 Counterfactuals
Mediation and Path-Specific Effects

Course Mailing List

Sign up for the course mailing list to receive updates about the course:

Course Textbook

Draft of first 10 chapters (continually updated with new chapters throughout the course):

Introduction to Causal Inference (ICI)
from a Machine Learning Perspective

This is a book draft, so I greatly appreciate any feedback you’re willing to send my way. If you’re unsure whether I’ll be receptive to it or not, don’t be. Please send any feedback to me using the “Book” option of the feedback form. Feedback can be at the word level, sentence level, section level, chapter level, etc. Here’s a non-exhaustive list of useful kinds of feedback:

  • Typoz.
  • Some part is confusing.
  • You notice your mind start to wonder or don’t feel motivated to read some part.
  • Some part seems like it can be cut.
  • You feel strongly that some part absolutely should not be cut.
  • Some parts are not connected well.
  • When moving from one part to the next, you notice that there isn’t a natural flow.
  • A new active reading exercise you thought of.

Prerequisites

There is one main prerequisite: basic probability. This course assumes you’ve taken an introduction to probability course at the undergraduate level or have had equivalent experience. Topics from statistics and machine learning will pop up in the course from time to time, so some familiarity with those will be helpful, but is not necessary. For example, if cross-validation is a new concept to you, you can learn it relatively quickly at the point in the course that it pops up. And in Section 2.4 of the book, we give a primer on some statistics terminology that we’ll use.

FAQs

Q: Where should I ask questions about a given lecture?
A: Use the YouTube comment selection below the relevant video. I check it once per day on week days.

Q: Is this course for credit?
A: No.

Q: Is this course free?
A: Yes!

Q: What time is the course?
A: Only the guest talks will have specific times (listed in the schedule). The regular lecture videos won’t be live and will usually be uploaded to YouTube on Mondays.

Q: I’m not receiving course emails.
A: Email me with “[Causal Course]” at the beginning of your email subject, and I’ll fix it.

Feedback

If you have any feedback about the course to send my way, I welcome it! Please send it here. You can include your name or not include your name. Either works.

Potential Reading Group Papers by Week

We will have a small weekly reading group that runs in parallel to the course. Before any given week’s reading group meeting, 1-3 people will have read the week’s paper in detail and already thought about discussion topics. These 1-3 people will then lead a discussion of a small number of people who have all made themselves familiar with the paper. The discussion group will be kept small (at most 15) in order to facilitate quality discussion. You can ensure that you have a place in the discussion group every week you’d like by signing up to be a discussion leader for at least one week. Below, I give a list of potential reading group papers, organized by week/topic, just like the course schedule is. You can email me at bradyneal11@gmail.com to let me know that you’d like to lead a certain week’s discussion, which paper(s) you’re considering, or to discuss other papers you’d like to discuss that are not on the list.

  1. Motivation and Preview - No reading group
  2. Potential Outcomes
  3. Graphical Models and SCMs
  4. Randomized Experiments, Frontdoor Adjustment, and do-calculus
  5. Estimation and Conditional Average Treatment Effects
  6. Sensitivity Analysis
  7. Instrumental Variables, Regression Discontinuity, Difference-in-Differences, and Synthetic Control
  8. BREAK
  9. Causal Discovery without Experiments
  10. Causal Discovery with Experiments
  11. Transportability and Transfer Learning
  12. Counterfactuals, Mediation, and Path-Specific Effects
  13. TBD - Overflow Week
  14. Causal Representation Learning